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Guns and ButterThe Economic Causes and Consequences of Conflict$
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Gregory D. Hess

Print publication date: 2009

Print ISBN-13: 9780262012812

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: August 2013

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262012812.001.0001

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The Factionalization of Terror Groups

The Factionalization of Terror Groups

(p.157) 6 The Factionalization of Terror Groups
Guns and Butter

Ethan Bueno de Mesquita

The MIT Press

This chapter presents a model of the factionalization or splintering of a terrorist group in which affiliation decisions are endogenous and terrorist leaders are motivated by the desire to attract adherents. The model shows that in a splintered terrorist organization, the distribution of ideological preferences of the members of the factions will be skewed away from the ideological positions of the factions themselves. This chapter analyzes the effect of stronger economic activity on the equilibrium reorganization of terrorist groups and provides a better understanding of the equilibrium behavior of terrorism and its organization.

Keywords:   terrorist group, factionalization, terrorist leaders, ideological preferences, economic activity, equilibrium behavior

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