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The Empire of ValueA New Foundation for Economics$
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André Orléan

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780262026970

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: January 2015

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262026970.001.0001

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Liquidity and Speculation

Liquidity and Speculation

Chapter:
(p.197) 7 Liquidity and Speculation
Source:
The Empire of Value
Author(s):

André Orléan

Publisher:
The MIT Press
DOI:10.7551/mitpress/9780262026970.003.0008

Two models of market behavior are contrasted, one characterized by negative feedbacks, where the agent's relationship to the commodities being exchanged is determined independently of the market, the other by positive feedbacks, where the same relationship is no longer assumed to be determined in advance of transactions. The fundamentalist model, corresponding to the Walrasian framework, is assumed by neoclassical economists to be ideally suited to analyzing financial markets. This is shown to be mistaken, and their inability to explain financial competition shown to be due to a misunderstanding of liquidity. The main properties of liquidity are examined instead in relation to the self-referential model, which provides a simple explanation of excessive volatility and speculative bubbles. Speculation is analyzed as the product of emergent and collective perceptions known as conventions. The behavior of governments and markets is conventional since both regard liquidity as the supreme arbiter of economic exchange.

Keywords:   bubbles, conventions, excessive volatility, fundamentalist model, liquidity, negative/positive feedbacks, self-referential model, speculation

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