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The Next Great War?The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict$
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Richard N. Rosecrance and Steven E. Miller

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780262028998

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: May 2016

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028998.001.0001

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Respites or Resolutions?

Respites or Resolutions?

Recurring Crises and the Origins of War

Chapter:
(p.13) 2 Respites or Resolutions?
Source:
The Next Great War?
Author(s):

Arthur A. Stein

Publisher:
The MIT Press
DOI:10.7551/mitpress/9780262028998.003.0002

Historians disagree whether World War I represented a “war by design” or a miscalculation, an accident that need not have happened. If the latter, scholars observe that recurrent crises might become difficult to resolve, because powers change their positions after a loss. The outbreak of World War I showed that repetitive “chicken games” are likely unstable.

Keywords:   Chicken game, Bargaining theory of war, Prisoner’s Dilemma, Win-stay, lose-shift, Assumption of the independence of events

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