- Title Pages
- Contributors
- Preface
-
1 Contracts and Investment in Natural Resources -
2 Petroleum Contracts: What Does Contract Theory Tell Us? - Commentary
-
3 Sovereign Theft: Theory and Evidence about Sovereign Default and Expropriation - Commentary: Expropriations, Defaults, and Financial Architecture
-
4 A Resource Belief Curse? Oil and Individualism - Commentary
-
5 Optimal Resource Extraction Contracts under Threat of Expropriation -
6 Denying the Temptation to GRAB -
7 Dealing with Expropriations: General Guidelines for Oil Production Contracts - Commentary
-
8 Pricing Expropriation Risk in Natural Resource Contracts: A Real Options Approach - Commentary
-
9 Credibility, Commitment, and Regulation: Ex Ante Price Caps and Ex Post Interventions - Commentary
-
10 Hydrocarbon Policy, Shocks, and the Collective Imagination: What Went Wrong in Bolivia? - Commentary
-
11 Urgency and Betrayal: Three Attempts to Foster Private Investment in Argentina’s Oil Industry - Commentary
-
12 The Political Economy of Oil Contract Renegotiation in Venezuela - Commentary: Not Just a Distributional Matter
- Epilogue: Populism and Natural Resources Workshop November 1–2, 2007
- Appendix: Populism and Natural Resources Workshop
- Index
Epilogue: Populism and Natural Resources Workshop November 1–2, 2007
Epilogue: Populism and Natural Resources Workshop November 1–2, 2007
- Chapter:
- (p.487) Epilogue: Populism and Natural Resources Workshop November 1–2, 2007
- Source:
- The Natural Resources Trap
- Author(s):
Bijan Mossavar-Rahmani
- Publisher:
- The MIT Press
The epilogue aims to provide an industry perspective, particularly, it provides a glimpse of the future and gives some shape to the context in which resource populism might unfold, in contrast to a retrospective look into the past carried out in the work of the Populism and Natural Resources Workshop. It is argued here that what will set the conditions for, and shape the future of, the market is the price of oil. Conventional wisdom and the experience of the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s held that higher prices, if they came about, would result from some short-lived, geopolitically induced spike, and that prices would settle back as supply and demand responded and as the geopolitical event passed or was addressed.
Keywords: industry perspective, resource populism, price of oil, geopolitically induced spike, supply and demand
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- Title Pages
- Contributors
- Preface
-
1 Contracts and Investment in Natural Resources -
2 Petroleum Contracts: What Does Contract Theory Tell Us? - Commentary
-
3 Sovereign Theft: Theory and Evidence about Sovereign Default and Expropriation - Commentary: Expropriations, Defaults, and Financial Architecture
-
4 A Resource Belief Curse? Oil and Individualism - Commentary
-
5 Optimal Resource Extraction Contracts under Threat of Expropriation -
6 Denying the Temptation to GRAB -
7 Dealing with Expropriations: General Guidelines for Oil Production Contracts - Commentary
-
8 Pricing Expropriation Risk in Natural Resource Contracts: A Real Options Approach - Commentary
-
9 Credibility, Commitment, and Regulation: Ex Ante Price Caps and Ex Post Interventions - Commentary
-
10 Hydrocarbon Policy, Shocks, and the Collective Imagination: What Went Wrong in Bolivia? - Commentary
-
11 Urgency and Betrayal: Three Attempts to Foster Private Investment in Argentina’s Oil Industry - Commentary
-
12 The Political Economy of Oil Contract Renegotiation in Venezuela - Commentary: Not Just a Distributional Matter
- Epilogue: Populism and Natural Resources Workshop November 1–2, 2007
- Appendix: Populism and Natural Resources Workshop
- Index