Explaining and Forecasting Euro Area Exports: Which Competitiveness Indicator Performs Best?
Explaining and Forecasting Euro Area Exports: Which Competitiveness Indicator Performs Best?
This chapter examines whether it is possible to identify a cost and price-competitiveness indicator that outperforms others in explaining and predicting extra-euro area export volumes. To this end, it considers five measures of real effective exchange rates (REER) plus one based on relative export prices, reviewing their usefulness as plausible measures of competitiveness for the euro area. After concluding that, from a methodological standpoint, neither can a priori be defined as “superior” or “inferior,” their relative empirical performance is assessed. The chapter evaluates the responsiveness of export flows to price competitiveness changes by estimating a number of key elasticities, and also examines their relative performance in explaining and forecasting export flows.
Keywords: price-competitiveness indicator, export volumes, REER, relative export prices, export flows
MIT Press Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.
Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.
If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.
To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs, and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us.
