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The Economics of ConflictTheory and Empirical Evidence$
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Karl Wärneryd

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780262026895

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: September 2014

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262026895.001.0001

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Occupational Choices and Insurgency in Afghanistan's Provinces

Occupational Choices and Insurgency in Afghanistan's Provinces

(p.176) (p.177) 7 Occupational Choices and Insurgency in Afghanistan's Provinces
The Economics of Conflict

Vincenzo Bove

Leandro Elia

The MIT Press

This chapter examines the link between occupational opportunities and antigovernment activity in Afghanistan. In particular, it explores empirically whether opium prices induce subsequent violence; whether a reverse mechanism coexists; and whether alternative measures of the relative income can help explain the spread of insecurity in Afghanistan. The chapter shows that while opium prices do not drive conflict, increased conflict leads to increased supply and lower opium prices.

Keywords:   opium prices, antigovernment activity, conflict, income, insurgency

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