Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical FuturesEight Long-Range Scenarios$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson

Print publication date: 2015

Print ISBN-13: 9780262028899

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: September 2015

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028899.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM MIT PRESS SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.mitpress.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright The MIT Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in MITSO for personal use.date: 06 December 2021

Summary and Conclusions

Summary and Conclusions

Chapter:
(p.167) 10 Summary and Conclusions
Source:
Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures
Author(s):

Evan Hillebrand

Stacy Closson

Publisher:
The MIT Press
DOI:10.7551/mitpress/9780262028899.003.0010

This final chapter discusses what we have learned from generating the scenarios and how the three variables affect one another in certain circumstances. Analysis is provided on which aspects of the scenarios are more plausible than others. Each scenario is assigned a degree of low, medium, and high probability. Missing elements of scenarios are also discussed. The final part provides insights and deductions we drew from conducting this exercise and where more analysis is needed. Readers are left to contemplate how certain policy choices made by key actors in the international community push us in more or less plausible directions.

Keywords:   Lessons Learned, Probabilities, Follow-on Research

MIT Press Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs, and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us.