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The Next Great War? – The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict - MIT Press Scholarship Online
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The Next Great War?: The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict

Richard N. Rosecrance and Steven E. Miller


A century ago, Europe’s diplomats mismanaged the crisis triggered by the murder of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria, plunging the continent into World War I which killed millions, toppled dynasties, and destroyed empires. Today as the hundredth anniversary of the Great War prompts renewed debate about the war’s causes, scholars and policy-makers are also considering the parallels between the present international system and the system of 1914. Are China and the United States fated to follow in the footsteps of previous Great Power rivals? Will today’s alliances drag countries into tomorrow’ ... More

Keywords: Balance of power, Overbalance of power, Blank check, China dream, Chicken game, Interdependence, Hegemony, Concert of powers, Alliances

Bibliographic Information

Print publication date: 2014 Print ISBN-13: 9780262028998
Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: May 2016 DOI:10.7551/mitpress/9780262028998.001.0001


Affiliations are at time of print publication.

Richard N. Rosecrance, editor
Harvard University

Steven E. Miller, editor

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Power Balances, Alliance Ties, and Diplomacy

1 Before the War

Alan Alexandroff

2 Respites or Resolutions?

Arthur A. Stein

4 Allies, Overbalance, and War

Richard N. Rosecrance

Debating the Thucydides Trap

6 The Thucydides Trap

Graham Allison

7 Thucydides Dethroned

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The Inside Story: Domestic Factors and the Roots of War, Then and Now

A Century after Sarajevo: Taking Stock and Looking Forward

12 Inevitability and War

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