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The Next Great War?The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict$
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Richard N. Rosecrance and Steven E. Miller

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780262028998

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: May 2016

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028998.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM MIT PRESS SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.mitpress.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright The MIT Press, 2022. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in MITSO for personal use.date: 06 July 2022

Better Now Than Later

Better Now Than Later

The Paradox of 1914 as Everyone’s Favored Year for War

(p.25) 3 Better Now Than Later
The Next Great War?

Jack Snyder

The MIT Press

Logically it cannot have been true that each Power benefited from fighting in 1914. Yet, each reached this conclusion in August of that year. Germany and Austria saw the rise of Russian power as forcing their hand. Neither considered a defensive strategy in the West and an early attack on Russia which would have had the advantage of keeping Britain out of the war. France and Russia wanted to make sure they supported each other (as they had not done in a series of prewar crises). The solidity of alliances was thus as important to them as winning the opening battles.

Keywords:   Private information, Commitment problems, Indivisibility, Bounded Rationality

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