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The Next Great War?The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict$
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Richard N. Rosecrance and Steven E. Miller

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780262028998

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: May 2016

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028998.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM MIT PRESS SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.mitpress.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright The MIT Press, 2022. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in MITSO for personal use.date: 02 July 2022

Allies, Overbalance, and War

Allies, Overbalance, and War

(p.45) 4 Allies, Overbalance, and War
The Next Great War?

Richard N. Rosecrance

The MIT Press

Bipolar alliances did not deter war in 1914, they made war seem possible if not inevitable. In that year great powers had at least two motivations: not to lose a war and to maintain their alliances. But the second might involve supporting an ally in a conflict that the Great Power could not win. In fact, an overbalance of power would have been a better preventative and it existed in the Concert of Europe until 1848 and in foreshortened form in Bismarck’s alliances of 1871-1890. It also produced the end of the Cold War in 1989.

Keywords:   Balance of power, Overbalance of power, Sequencing, Cold War, US-China Overbalance

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