Contingency as a Cause (or Little Things Mean a Lot)
Contingency as a Cause (or Little Things Mean a Lot)
World War I was not inevitable but a series of factors or influences compounded its occurrence: the strict balance of power; offense-dominance, the need to pacify or secure allies, repetitive crisis, pervasive nationalism and inadequate diplomatic leadership. These issues are still with us, and unless China and the U.S. form or join a new and more powerful organization to deal with them, war remains a possibility.
Keywords: Overbalance of power, Repetitive crisis, Tyranny of small things, Private interdependence, Internationalizing coalitions
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