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The Next Great War?The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict$
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Richard N. Rosecrance and Steven E. Miller

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780262028998

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: May 2016

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028998.001.0001

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Contingency as a Cause (or Little Things Mean a Lot)

Contingency as a Cause (or Little Things Mean a Lot)

(p.211) 14 Contingency as a Cause (or Little Things Mean a Lot)
The Next Great War?

Richard N. Rosecrance

The MIT Press

World War I was not inevitable but a series of factors or influences compounded its occurrence: the strict balance of power; offense-dominance, the need to pacify or secure allies, repetitive crisis, pervasive nationalism and inadequate diplomatic leadership. These issues are still with us, and unless China and the U.S. form or join a new and more powerful organization to deal with them, war remains a possibility.

Keywords:   Overbalance of power, Repetitive crisis, Tyranny of small things, Private interdependence, Internationalizing coalitions

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