Paths to the Future
Paths to the Future
The integrated, comprehensive models are an attempt to regain a holistic understanding of cities and regions, one based on a formal, computational approach. The open futures, quasi-predictive nature of the models is justified by the theory of complex self-organizing systems; the models are validated initially by less-than-definitive tests, but ultimately by the success of applications. The quality of the models evolves, and the evolution is driven by the real, messy problems faced by the clients who use the models. But acceptance and use are held back by a perception that the models are not quite scientific. Thus progress toward a more appropriate and formal methodological protocol is essential.
Keywords: Model evolution, Model acceptance, Methodological protocol
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