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The Disruption Dilemma$
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Joshua Gans

Print publication date: 2016

Print ISBN-13: 9780262034487

Published to MIT Press Scholarship Online: September 2016

DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/9780262034487.001.0001

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Predicting Disruption

Predicting Disruption

(p.49) 4 Predicting Disruption
The Disruption Dilemma

Joshua Gans

The MIT Press

One the major managerial activities currently surrounding disruption is investing time and money in trying to predict where and when the next disruptive event might occur. This has been a significant activity in, for example, higher education, which has been subject to a ‘disruption declaration’ for the past few years. Is such activity worthwhile? Can it assist in forestalling disruption? Can disruptive events be predicted? And if they can be predicted, does it make any difference? Those are the questions this chapter seeks to answer.

Keywords:   education, prediction, uncertainty

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